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To own Rithm Capital, you generally need to believe in its shift from a mortgage REIT to a broader real estate finance and asset management platform, supported by fee-based income from assets like Paramount’s office portfolio. The latest common and preferred dividend declarations largely affirm the current income profile and do not materially change the near term focus on earnings stability versus interest rate risk, or the key concern that the high dividend burden is not well covered by earnings and cash flows.
The most directly relevant recent announcement is the March 24 declaration of US$0.25 per common share for Q1 2026, alongside detailed terms for six preferred series, including floating rate issues tied to three month CME SOFR. For investors focused on catalysts, the interaction between these high coupon preferreds and Rithm’s existing 8.000% senior notes highlights how funding costs and rate volatility could influence future earnings and dividend capacity.
Yet beneath the attractive income profile, investors should be aware that the combination of floating rate preferred obligations and already stretched dividend coverage could...
Read the full narrative on Rithm Capital (it's free!)
Rithm Capital's narrative projects $7.0 billion revenue and $1.4 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 23.1% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $0.8 billion from $567.2 million today.
Uncover how Rithm Capital's forecasts yield a $14.50 fair value, a 51% upside to its current price.
Three fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span about US$14.50 to nearly US$37.98 per share, showing how far apart individual views can be. Set against this, the heavy reliance on interest rates and macro cycles in Rithm’s model means readers may want to compare several of these perspectives before drawing conclusions about longer term performance.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Rithm Capital - why the stock might be worth over 3x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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