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To own Guidewire, you need to believe its cloud platform and ecosystem can remain central to P&C insurers as they modernize core systems and adopt AI. Ethias’s go-live validates Guidewire Cloud Platform in another European market, but it does not materially change the key near term catalyst of continued successful cloud migrations or the main risk around execution in moving customers from on premise to cloud.
Among recent developments, Guidewire’s Q2 FY2026 results and reaffirmed full year guidance stand out alongside Ethias’s deployment. Revenue of US$359.1 million in Q2 and full year guidance of US$1,438 million to US$1,448 million highlight how cloud wins like Ethias, IAG New Zealand, and Vaudoise sit inside a broader transition that investors are watching closely for its impact on ARR quality, margins, and the pace of future cloud deals.
Yet against this progress, investors should be aware that insider selling and execution risk around the cloud transition could still...
Read the full narrative on Guidewire Software (it's free!)
Guidewire Software's narrative projects $1.7 billion revenue and $191.6 million earnings by 2028. This requires 15.1% yearly revenue growth and about a $157 million earnings increase from $34.6 million today.
Uncover how Guidewire Software's forecasts yield a $234.14 fair value, a 55% upside to its current price.
Some of the most optimistic analysts saw Guidewire reaching about US$1.9 billion of revenue and US$209.0 million of earnings, which is far more upbeat than consensus and could be tested by how successfully cloud projects like Ethias progress and by rising regulatory and competitive pressures.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Guidewire Software - why the stock might be worth just $160.00!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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