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To own IBM, you need to believe its shift toward higher value hybrid cloud, AI and mainframe-centric infrastructure can offset pressure on legacy and consumption-based software. The Arm collaboration reinforces IBM’s AI hardware story, but does not materially change near term catalysts around z17 adoption or software growth, nor the key risks from macro-sensitive consulting demand and competition in virtualization and cloud.
Among the recent announcements, the FedRAMP authorization of 11 watsonx and automation products is especially relevant. It highlights IBM’s push into regulated government workloads, which ties directly into the AI and hybrid cloud growth catalysts while also increasing exposure to potential volatility in U.S. federal technology budgets and the consumption-based software revenues those contracts can drive.
Yet while this upside is appealing, investors should also be aware that IBM’s heavier tilt toward federal and regulated workloads could...
Read the full narrative on International Business Machines (it's free!)
International Business Machines' narrative projects $74.4 billion revenue and $10.5 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 5.1% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $4.6 billion from $5.9 billion today.
Uncover how International Business Machines' forecasts yield a $302.05 fair value, a 22% upside to its current price.
Some of the most optimistic analysts already expected IBM to reach about US$80.3 billion in revenue and US$14.3 billion in earnings, so if you are weighing those upbeat forecasts against concerns about legacy revenue decline and rising hyperscaler competition, the new IBM Arm AI push is exactly the type of development that could shift those narratives in different directions.
Explore 12 other fair value estimates on International Business Machines - why the stock might be worth 10% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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