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To own VICI, you have to be comfortable with a slow growing, income focused REIT that leans heavily on long term, inflation linked casino and experiential leases. The One Beverly Hills mezzanine expansion and Alberta sale leaseback deepen that model but do not materially change the near term story, where the key catalyst is steady rent growth and the biggest risk is execution and credit risk from a growing mezzanine and development loan book.
Among the recent announcements, the US$1.50 billion One Beverly Hills mezzanine loan stands out because it adds a large, shorter duration credit exposure on top of VICI’s traditional triple net leases. That fits the experiential push analysts already highlight as a growth driver, but it also brings the mezzanine and project financing risk that investors now need to weigh more carefully against the stock’s income and valuation appeal.
Yet behind the appeal of new experiential deals, investors should be aware that...
Read the full narrative on VICI Properties (it's free!)
VICI Properties' narrative projects $4.3 billion revenue and $3.2 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 2.7% yearly revenue growth and roughly a $0.4 billion earnings increase from $2.8 billion today.
Uncover how VICI Properties' forecasts yield a $34.78 fair value, a 26% upside to its current price.
Seven members of the Simply Wall St Community currently place VICI’s fair value between US$32.15 and US$53.11, reflecting wide ranging expectations. Set against that, the growing mezzanine and development exposure highlighted above raises questions about how much risk you are being paid to accept over time.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on VICI Properties - why the stock might be worth just $32.15!
Don't just follow the ticker - dig into the data and build a conviction that's truly your own.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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