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To own JOYY, you need to be comfortable with a business that is leaning harder into ad tech, while still tied to social entertainment and e‑commerce SaaS. The key near term catalyst remains execution in BIGO Ads and its third party Audience Network. The latest earnings update reinforces that this engine is still gaining traction, and there is no clear sign that it meaningfully alters the biggest risk right now, which is the durability and quality of JOYY’s earnings base after large one off gains.
Among recent announcements, the new three segment reporting structure from Q1 2026 stands out as most relevant here. Splitting results into social entertainment, ad tech and e‑commerce SaaS should give investors better visibility into how BIGO Ads performs relative to the rest of the business, which could sharpen how you think about both the upside from ad tech momentum and the risk that other segments may not keep pace.
Yet beneath the strong ad tech headlines, there is a less obvious risk that investors should be aware of involving JOYY’s earnings quality and the impact of past one off gains...
Read the full narrative on JOYY (it's free!)
JOYY's narrative projects $2.8 billion revenue and $279.8 million earnings by 2029.
Uncover how JOYY's forecasts yield a $78.34 fair value, a 34% upside to its current price.
Some of the lowest analysts were assuming revenue of about US$2.3 billion and earnings near US$55.7 million by 2028, so compared with concerns about rising regulatory and data privacy pressures on JOYY’s cross border ad business, their forecasts reflect a much more pessimistic view that could shift again as BIGO Ads’ recent momentum and the new reporting structure are fully reflected in updated models.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on JOYY - why the stock might be worth just $64.00!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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