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To own Simon Property Group you need to believe premier malls and mixed use redevelopments can keep attracting tenants and shoppers despite ongoing retail bankruptcies and e commerce pressure. David Simon’s passing is emotionally significant, but the board’s long signaled succession to Eli Simon and appointment of a seasoned non executive chair do not appear to change the near term focus on leasing, redevelopments and managing interest rate and refinancing risk.
Among recent announcements, the US$2,000,000,000 share repurchase authorization stands out in the context of this leadership transition, because it underpins the existing capital allocation narrative built under David Simon. With Eli now CEO, how the company balances buybacks, dividends and US$1,000,000,000 of redevelopment commitments will be central to how investors assess both the resilience of current cash flows and the sensitivity of the story to higher financing costs.
But investors should also recognize how refinancing at higher rates could interact with already elevated leverage and ongoing redevelopment spending...
Read the full narrative on Simon Property Group (it's free!)
Simon Property Group's narrative projects $7.0 billion revenue and $2.5 billion earnings by 2029.
Uncover how Simon Property Group's forecasts yield a $206.30 fair value, a 9% upside to its current price.
Four fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$99 to US$285 per share, underlining how far apart individual views can be. When you set those against SPG’s continued need for capital intensive redevelopments and the related pressure on free cash flow, it becomes even more important to compare several different assumptions before deciding how resilient you think the business really is.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Simon Property Group - why the stock might be worth 47% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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