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To own Fastly, you need to believe its unified edge cloud platform can keep gaining traction in security, edge computing, and AI workloads while the company works toward narrowing losses. The key near term catalyst is converting strong recent revenue growth and product interest into steadier, higher margin adoption across more customers. The appointment of Joan Jenkins as CMO directly targets this go to market execution, but does not remove the risks around competition, customer concentration, or ongoing unprofitability.
The most relevant recent announcement here is Fastly’s earnings beat, with Q4 2025 revenue of US$172.61 million and full year revenue of US$624.02 million, alongside continued net losses. This context matters because marketing and go to market leadership now sit on top of a business that is growing its top line but still burning cash, so investors will be watching whether Jenkins can help deepen security and edge adoption enough to support the path outlined in Fastly’s 2026 revenue guidance.
Yet behind the strong share price run and leadership hires, investors should also be aware of concentrated customers and significant insider selling over the past three months...
Read the full narrative on Fastly (it's free!)
Fastly's narrative projects $694.5 million revenue and $44.3 million earnings by 2028. This requires 6.7% yearly revenue growth and a $191.9 million earnings increase from $-147.6 million today.
Uncover how Fastly's forecasts yield a $13.71 fair value, a 59% downside to its current price.
Some of the lowest ranked analysts were assuming only about 5.7% annual revenue growth to roughly US$675,000,000 by 2028, which is far more cautious than the consensus view that leans on stronger security and edge momentum. When you compare that with today’s upbeat reaction to Fastly’s new CMO and recent earnings surprise, it shows just how far apart expectations can be and why it is worth looking at several different scenarios before deciding what you believe about the stock’s potential path from here.
Explore 6 other fair value estimates on Fastly - why the stock might be worth as much as $20.00!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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