
U.S. stocks fell on Thursday, following Wednesday’s sharp rebound. Futures of the major benchmark indices were lower after Iran accused Washington of violating the ceasefire.
In a post shared on X, Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said Washington had a “pattern” of breaking commitments, adding that “in such situation, a bilateral ceasefire or negotiations is unreasonable.” He cited continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon, an alleged drone incursion into Iranian airspace and disputes over Iran’s nuclear rights as violations.
However, President Donald Trump mentioned in a recent Truth Social post that all the U.S. ammunition and weaponry, “will remain in place,” until the “REAL AGREEMENT” is reached and fully complied with.
Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.28%, and the two-year bond was at 3.77%. The CME Group's FedWatch tool‘s projections show markets pricing in a 99.5% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged at its April meeting.
| Index | Performance (+/-) |
| Dow Jones | -0.39% |
| S&P 500 | -0.38% |
| Nasdaq 100 | -0.36% |
| Russell 2000 | -0.66% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, respectively, were lower in premarket on Thursday. The SPY was down 0.46% at $672.93, while the QQQ declined 0.41% to $603.60.
Communication services, industrials, and materials stocks recorded the largest gains on Wednesday, driving most S&P 500 sectors to a positive close, though energy stocks bucked the trend and finished lower.
| Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
| Dow Jones | 2.85% | 47,909.92 |
| S&P 500 | 2.51% | 6,782.81 |
| Nasdaq Composite | 2.80% | 22,634.99 |
| Russell 2000 | 2.97% | 2,620.46 |
BlackRock anticipates ongoing economic challenges in the United States, largely driven by external disruptions and geopolitical events. Evaluating the macroeconomic environment, the firm states, “We eye the impact of higher energy prices in the U.S. March CPI this week and see supply chain shocks eventually pushing up broader inflation.”
With these persistent inflationary pressures, interest rate cuts appear unlikely in the near term. Consequently, “Markets now see the Fed on hold this year after partially pricing in a rate hike last week.”
Given this backdrop, BlackRock maintains a strictly neutral tactical view on U.S. equities. They caution that “Higher interest rate expectations could weigh on the market – and small caps in particular.”
Despite this broader caution, BlackRock sees significant strategic opportunities in artificial intelligence. The firm emphasizes, “We keep our overweight to companies that benefit from the AI mega force.”
Specifically, they “favor physical infrastructure and equipment supporting the AI buildout” because these foundational assets are positioned to “benefit no matter the winners or losers”.
Here's what investors will be keeping an eye on this Thursday.
Crude oil futures were trading higher in the early New York session by 3.29% to hover around $97.52 per barrel.
Gold Spot US Dollar rose 0.22% to hover around $4,729.70 per ounce. Its last record high stood at $5,595.46 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was 0.09% lower at the 99.0470 level.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was trading 0.60% lower at $71,227.63 per coin, as per the last 24 hours.
Asian markets closed lower on Thursday, except Australia's ASX 200 index. Hong Kong's Hang Seng, China’s CSI 300, India’s Nifty 50, South Korea's Kospi, and Japan's Nikkei 225 indices fell. European markets were also lower in early trade.
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