- Investors may be considering whether YETI Holdings, at around US$37.32, is offering fair value right now or if the current price is out of line with its fundamentals.
- The stock shows a mixed return profile, with a 2.6% move over the last 7 days, a 1.6% decline over 30 days, a 16.8% decline year to date, a 28.4% gain over the past year, and a 55.8% decline over 5 years.
- Recent coverage of YETI has focused on its position in premium drinkware and coolers and how brand strength may influence investor expectations. Other commentary has highlighted how sentiment towards consumer durables stocks can shift quickly, which helps explain some of the shorter term share price moves.
- Simply Wall St gives YETI Holdings a value score of 4 out of 6. The next sections will break this down across different valuation methods before looking at a broader way to think about what the stock may be worth.
Find out why YETI Holdings's 28.4% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers.
Approach 1: YETI Holdings Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model estimates what a company could be worth by projecting its future cash flows and then discounting those back to today’s dollars. It is essentially asking what tomorrow’s cash is worth to you right now.
For YETI Holdings, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach, based on current free cash flow of about $160.6 million. Analyst and extrapolated projections include free cash flow figures such as $205.8 million in 2026 and $291.0 million in 2030. Simply Wall St extends estimates beyond the typical 5 year analyst window using its own assumptions.
When all those projected cash flows are discounted back and summed, the model arrives at an estimated intrinsic value of about $77.98 per share. Compared with a recent share price around $37.32, this DCF output suggests the stock is treated as roughly 52.1% undervalued.
Result: UNDERVALUED
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests YETI Holdings is undervalued by 52.1%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 62 more high quality undervalued stocks.
Approach 2: YETI Holdings Price vs Earnings
P/E is a common way to assess profitable companies because it links what you pay for each share directly to the earnings that business is currently generating. In general, higher growth expectations and lower perceived risk can justify a higher P/E ratio, while slower growth and higher risk usually point to a lower, more conservative P/E.
YETI Holdings currently trades on a P/E of 17.08x. This sits below the Leisure industry average of 19.91x and also below the broader peer average of 42.44x. On the surface, that suggests the market is attaching a lower earnings multiple to YETI compared with many peers in its space.
Simply Wall St also calculates a proprietary “Fair Ratio” of 15.96x for YETI, which estimates what a more tailored P/E might look like after factoring in elements such as earnings growth, profit margins, industry, market cap and identified risks. This is often more informative than simple peer or industry comparisons because it adjusts for company specific characteristics rather than assuming all firms deserve similar multiples. Compared with the current P/E of 17.08x, YETI’s price sits modestly above this Fair Ratio, which indicates the shares may be slightly overvalued on this metric.
Result: OVERVALUED
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Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your YETI Holdings Narrative
Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation. Narratives are introduced, which let you attach a clear story about YETI Holdings to the numbers by linking your view of its future revenue, earnings and margins to a Fair Value that you can easily compare with the current price. All of this is available within Simply Wall St's Community page, where Narratives are updated when new news or earnings arrive. One investor might align with a cautious view that treats Fair Value as around US$37.0, while another leans toward a more optimistic view closer to US$68.09. Both can see how those different stories translate into different Fair Values that may guide their own decisions on whether the current price looks high or low against their chosen Narrative.
For YETI Holdings, here are previews of two leading YETI Holdings Narratives:
Fair Value: US$68.09 per share
Current price vs this Fair Value: around 45.2% below that estimate
Assumed revenue growth used in this view: 7.96% per year
- Focuses on international growth, supply chain changes, and new product categories as key supports for sales and margins over time.
- Leans on analyst expectations for steady profit margins, earnings of US$215.2m by about 2028, and a P/E of 19.3x on those earnings.
- Flags risks around regulation, competition, changing consumer preferences, and spending that could challenge this more optimistic path.
Fair Value: US$37.00 per share
Current price vs this Fair Value: around 0.9% below that estimate
Assumed revenue growth used in this view: 5.69% per year
- Highlights pressure from inflation, rival brands, and retailer bargaining power that could limit pricing and weigh on margins.
- Builds in more cautious revenue and earnings assumptions, with a P/E of 13.5x on expected 2029 earnings of US$204.1m.
- Accepts that product launches, international growth, and brand reach are positives, but treats them as not fully offsetting the risks.
These two Narratives outline a range of perspectives on what different investors think YETI Holdings might be worth and why. This can help you decide which storyline aligns better with your own view of the business, its risks, and the price you are prepared to pay.
See what the community is saying about YETI Holdings
Do you think there's more to the story for YETI Holdings? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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