
The Excess Returns model looks at how much profit a company is expected to earn above the return that shareholders require, based on its equity base. Instead of focusing on cash flows, it compares the earnings power of the business to its cost of equity.
For Invesco, the model uses a Book Value of $21.89 per share and a Stable EPS of $2.89 per share, sourced from weighted future Return on Equity estimates from 4 analysts. Against a Cost of Equity of $2.49 per share, this implies an Excess Return of $0.39 per share. The Average Return on Equity feeding into this is 9.45%, with a Stable Book Value of $30.54 per share, based on weighted future Book Value estimates from 2 analysts.
Combining these inputs, the Excess Returns model produces an estimated intrinsic value of US$38.83 per share. Compared with the recent share price of US$23.57, the model indicates the stock is 39.3% undervalued.
Result: UNDERVALUED
Our Excess Returns analysis suggests Invesco is undervalued by 39.3%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 62 more high quality undervalued stocks.
For companies that are generating meaningful revenue, the P/S ratio is a useful way to think about what you are paying for each dollar of sales, especially when earnings can be affected by non recurring items or accounting choices.
What counts as a "normal" or "fair" P/S ratio usually reflects how investors see the company’s growth potential and risk. Higher expected growth or more resilient cash flows often go with a higher multiple, while more uncertainty or weaker profitability tends to justify a lower one.
Invesco currently trades on a P/S of 1.64x. That sits below the Capital Markets industry average P/S of 3.44x and also below the peer group average of 2.95x. Simply Wall St's Fair Ratio for Invesco is 1.58x. This Fair Ratio is a proprietary estimate of the multiple that might be reasonable given factors such as earnings growth, industry, profit margins, market cap and risk profile.
Because the Fair Ratio blends these company specific factors, it can be more informative than a simple comparison with peers or the broad industry, which may have very different growth or risk characteristics. With the actual P/S at 1.64x versus a Fair Ratio of 1.58x, the stock looks about right on this metric.
Result: ABOUT RIGHT
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Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to think about valuation, so Narratives are introduced here as a simple way for you to attach a clear story about Invesco to concrete forecasts and a Fair Value. You can use Simply Wall St's Community page to compare that Fair Value with the current share price, see how different views range from about US$34.50 on the optimistic side to about US$25.00 on the cautious side, and have those Narratives update automatically as new earnings, news or product developments are released. This can help you decide whether the price you see makes sense for the story you believe in.
Do you think there's more to the story for Invesco? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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