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To own Linde, you need to believe in the durability of industrial gas demand and the company’s ability to reinvest steadily in core infrastructure. The Garysburg project fits that long-term, density-focused build-out, but its impact on near-term results looks limited, so it does not materially change the key short term catalyst of execution on the existing US$10,000,000,000 project backlog or the current risk of softer base volumes in weaker industrial regions.
In that context, management’s recent guidance for 2026 adjusted EPS growth of 6% to 9% and the disclosed backlog provide a framework for how projects like Garysburg, Oshkosh and large clean hydrogen or semiconductor facilities might feed into earnings over time. Together, these announcements sketch a picture of incremental capacity additions layered onto long-duration contracts, while leaving investors to weigh them against structural risks such as potential deindustrialization in Europe.
But against that steady expansion, investors should also be aware of the risk that prolonged weakness in core industrial demand could...
Read the full narrative on Linde (it's free!)
Linde's narrative projects $39.6 billion revenue and $9.0 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 5.2% yearly revenue growth and a roughly $2.1 billion earnings increase from $6.9 billion.
Uncover how Linde's forecasts yield a $516.41 fair value, a 3% upside to its current price.
Five members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see Linde’s fair value between US$386 and US$516, reflecting a broad span of expectations. You can weigh those views against the company’s growing project backlog and consider how future capacity additions might interact with regional industrial demand trends.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Linde - why the stock might be worth 23% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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