According to Ark Investments, a subsidiary of “Sister Mou” Kathy Wood, many market participants have accepted the story of the weakening dollar. We continue to see reasons for potential upside. We believe capital-friendly tax policies, deregulation, and increased relative returns on US investments may support continued demand for dollar-denominated assets. If foreign direct investment continues to strengthen and capital flows benefit the US, the dollar may strengthen even if many investors expect the opposite. In our view, this is yet another example of how consensus thinking may be ignoring the full meaning of an innovation-led, investment-driven cycle.

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