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To own Preferred Bank, you need to be comfortable with a concentrated, relationship-focused lender that is trying to balance credit quality with disciplined capital return. The latest quarter’s higher earnings and increased charge-offs do not appear to materially change the near term story, where the key catalyst remains execution in new markets and the biggest risk is a deterioration in asset quality within its concentrated California and commercial loan book.
The completion of the recent share repurchase, retiring 5.39% of the share count for US$58.63 million, ties directly into the existing catalyst of capital return enhancing per share metrics even in a modest growth setting. However, this sits alongside rising net charge-offs of US$5.46 million, which keeps the focus squarely on whether credit costs stay contained as the bank continues to serve construction and C&I borrowers.
But while buybacks and earnings per share are moving in the right direction, investors should also be aware of the bank’s elevated bad loan levels and...
Read the full narrative on Preferred Bank (it's free!)
Preferred Bank’s narrative projects $336.1 million revenue and $138.7 million earnings by 2029. This requires 6.1% yearly revenue growth and about a $5.1 million earnings increase from $133.6 million today.
Uncover how Preferred Bank's forecasts yield a $100.50 fair value, a 5% upside to its current price.
Two fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$100.50 to US$258.95, showing how far apart individual views can be. As you weigh those opinions, it is worth setting them against the risk that concentrated California exposure and rising charge-offs could pressure asset quality and, in turn, the bank’s ability to sustain its recent earnings trend.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Preferred Bank - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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