- Fastly, Inc. previously reported first-quarter 2026 results with revenue rising to US$173.02 million from US$144.47 million a year earlier, while narrowing its net loss to US$20.52 million and cutting basic loss per share from US$0.27 to US$0.13.
- The quarter highlighted especially strong momentum in higher-margin security and compute products, which delivered record contributions and underpinned Fastly’s decision to raise full-year 2026 revenue and profit guidance.
- We’ll now examine how Fastly’s raised full-year guidance, despite concerns about slower growth, could reshape its investment narrative for investors.
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Fastly Investment Narrative Recap
To own Fastly, you need to believe its higher margin security and compute products can offset pressure in a more commoditized core CDN business. The latest quarter, with nearly 20% revenue growth and raised full year guidance, supports that thesis, but the sharp post earnings sell off highlights how sensitive the near term catalyst of security and compute growth is to any hint of slower momentum, and keeps demand volatility and execution as the key risks.
In that context, the new AI driven anti piracy partnership with Spain’s LALIGA is especially relevant. It reinforces Fastly’s push deeper into security and edge workloads that can benefit from rising AI traffic, the same areas that just delivered record contributions and underpinned the 2026 guidance increase. For investors focused on short term catalysts, it ties the recent results to a growing use case in protecting high value live content.
Yet, beneath the headline growth, the combination of intense competition, rich valuation and recent insider selling is something investors should be aware of...
Read the full narrative on Fastly (it's free!)
Fastly's narrative projects $866.5 million revenue and $67.5 million earnings by 2029. This requires 11.6% yearly revenue growth and a $189.2 million earnings increase from -$121.7 million today.
Uncover how Fastly's forecasts yield a $19.17 fair value, in line with its current price.
Exploring Other Perspectives
The lowest estimate analysts paint a far more cautious picture, assuming roughly 11% annual revenue growth and no profitability by 2029, so if you are buying into Fastly’s security and AI story, it is worth asking whether this quarter’s beat and guidance raise meaningfully change that more pessimistic path or simply set a higher bar for execution.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Fastly - why the stock might be worth as much as 27% more than the current price!
Decide For Yourself
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
- A great starting point for your Fastly research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
- Our free Fastly research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Fastly's overall financial health at a glance.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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